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Tag Archive: global warming


conflict

In this entry we look at a project conflict resolution tool and relate it to a news event from today’s papers which is funny in a way, but very, very sad in another way.

The tool is the Thomas-Kilmann model, which sounds very fancy and hard to understand but is actually very straightforward, powerful, and applicable to your role as a project manager in understanding and dealing with conflict.

And you know that as a PM you will deal with conflict.


Why?  Here are three main reasons:

  • Projects are – by definition -new and unique, and invoke change.  People are – by nature – adverse to change.  This is fundamental.
  • You will be managing the project “as if” you are a supervisor/manager of a team – without the commensurate title/level that has the team members actually reporting to you.
  • You have team members – again, by definition – from different disciplines that think and behave differently (think artist and engineer, software developer and installer).
  • You can already imagine that the conflict is multi-dimensional.  Between you and another project or project manager.  Between “silos” of departments or organization.  Between team members on your project.  Between team members on your projects and their managers.  And on.  And on and on.

    The Thomas-Kilmann model looks at the ways people deal with conflict in two dimensions: assertiveness and cooperativeness.  Note that assertiveness is not aggressiveness.  Here it’s  a scale of how much you assert your will along a scale from ‘not at all’ to ‘at all costs, assert my will’.  Similarly, cooperativeness is measured on a scale from ‘not at all’ to ‘at all costs, cooperate’.  A simple chart (see below) plots two these dimensions against each other and yields 5 ways of dealing with conflict.  You can even take an assessment to determine where you and your team members fit in this model.  In any case, no one way is better than the other.  A project manager has several key takeaways from this:

    1. Recognize that conflict will exist and that these aspects (assertiveness and cooperativeness) contribute

    2. Recognize the type of conflict you have and when the various types of resolution work when you are an arbitrator

    3. Same as above for those times when you are a party in a conflict.

    Looking at the chart you can see that there will be times – times of urgency – where the PM will need the competing role and ‘lay down the law’ and direct the project team.  Perhaps the more steady-state role of the PM is in the collaborative area – at least in assuring that this is the area in which your team is working.

    tkmodel

    There’s alot more.  See an amusing post from our sister site ScopeCrepe here.


    Now let’s move on to today’s news.  Here’s an extract from the AP (Associated Press) news story:

    NEW DELHI, India – For nearly 30 years, India and Bangladesh have argued over control of a tiny rock island in the Bay of Bengal.  Now rising sea levels have resolved the dispute for them.  The island is gone.

    New Moore Island in the Sunderbans has been completely submerged, said oceanographer Sugata Hazra, a professor at Jadavpur University in Calcutta.  The disappearance of the uninhabited isle has been confirmed by satellite imagery and sea patrols, he said.  “What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking has been resolved by global warming” Hazra said.

    See the map below to locate this (former) island, called New Moore by India and South Talpatti by Bangladesh.

    island map

    Scientists have noted a dramatic increase in the RATE at which sea levels have risen – not the rise, but the RATE of the rise – until 2000 the rise was about 0.12 inches a year, but in the last 10 years it has nearly doubled to 0.2 inches per year. Ten islands in the area, some inhabited, are at risk. Lohachara was an inhabited island which was already submerged, inhabitants having to move onto the mainland in 1996. Estimates by scientists say that 18% of Bangladesh’s coastal area will be underwater by 2050, displacing about 20 million people.  You can read about this in an article from the UK newspaper The Telegraph, here.

    So – how do you choose to resolve conflict?  Perhaps you can just wait until climate change causes your project to go underwater.  But we recommend using a measured, practical approach with the advantage of the knowledge provided by a careful analysis, perhaps using the Thomas-Kilmann model.

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    Evidently, the whole Climate Change thing (say some folks) is just vaporware.  Pun intended.

    Today’s Boston Globe has a very telling article (read the whole thing here), with some poll statistics showing that people are backing off their stretch-hummerbelief in climate change.

    To us, the most revealing statistic is this one: Just since 2008, the number of people who do not think “that global warming is happening” has doubled. It’s still an (ignorant, in our opinion) minority of 20%, but it’s 20% now, when it was 10% in 2008.   see the chart below.

    And, according to the surveys, done by Yale and George Mason Universities,

    Sixteen percent are considered “dismissive’’ – believing that global warming isn’t happening and is probably a hoax – up from poll-globalwarming7 percent in 2008. So the number who actually think this is a hoax, has MORE than doubled.

    Here’s a quote from the article:

    “This issue is so politically sensitive, scientists need to be careful they [focus] on the science and not advocacy. . . . The science is robust and can speak for itself,’’ said Adil Najam, a lead author of two Intergovernmental Panel assessments and director of Boston University’s Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future. He said the recent errors do not undermine the fact that man is significantly contributing to global warming, “but the review process needs to be strengthened’’ for future reports.


    Dyslexia is not equal to a hoax

    One of the issues providing fuel (again, pun intended) for the cynics, is the fact that some of the scientific reporting has been sloppy.  Not good, ladies and gentlemen, please tighten up on this. Turns out that when one report cited the ice on the Himalayas would melt by 2035, they reversed a couple of numbers – it should have read 2350.  In scientific terms, of course, that’s a blink of the eye.  In talk-show host language, though, this is ammunition, baby.  It shows bias.  It proves that this is a hoax.  Damn lying scientists!  Proving their points with false facts! Give the talk show hosts a little nub like this and they will hang their hats on it.  Again, to quote the Globe, “the errors went beyond sloppiness and were troubling to scientists because advocacy group reports, no matter how robust, can give the perception of bias and are often not peer-reviewed – meaning they have not been vetted by independent scientists, as are studies published in scientific journals.”

    More than one way to be wrong

    The article also points out – quite correctly – that errors have probably also been made which underestimate the problem.  And even without errors, are we 100% sure that we have all of the effects in hand?  We may be missing an “accelerator” factor that actually would either increase the intensity or speed of some of the changes that have been detected, and may not even have detected or predicted other changes at all.

    Have a look at the detailed poll below.

    poll-globalwarming-full

    Your comments wanted

    What do YOU think? If you’re a cynic, where are you getting your energy (pun)? And if you are in the camp that thinks that there is a change to the climate initiated by millions of tons of GHGs (greenhouse gasses) produced by humankind, what’s keeping your belief level high despite the dyslexic and dumb dabbling of some of our scientists?

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